PredictionsEndorse2011 Gubernatorial Predictions - BushCountry (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2011-11-08 Version:5

Prediction Map
BushCountry MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BushCountry MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non46
 

Confidence States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non46
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000001120
Rep0000001120
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
541
piepiepie

Analysis

Bryant elected governor in Mississippi, Beshear re-elected by a wide margin in Kentucky.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 4

Beshear is easily going to win re-election in Kentucky.


Version: 3

West Virginia is starting to look like a moderately competitive race, as the RGA pours more money into it while simultaneously giving up on winning in Kentucky where Gov. Steve Beshear looks to be far ahead and likely to be re-elected.


Version: 2

Democrats are basically dead in Mississippi and Louisiana. Popular conservative Democratic incumbents in more Dem friendly West Virginia and Kentucky should win easy elections.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 238
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 6 2 74T115
P 2022 Senate 35/35 28/35 63/70 90.0% pie 49 1 16T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 49 1 23T272
P 2020 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 111 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 23/35 55/70 78.6% pie 65 4 66T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 19 21 51T293
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 10 130T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 46 4 42T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 45 6 226T372
P 2016 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 63 1 17T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 24/34 56/68 82.4% pie 55 1 1362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 25 1 25T279
P 2014 Senate 33/36 26/36 59/72 81.9% pie 34 1 42T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 31 0 123T300
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 157 0 401T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 66 0 111T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 21 0 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 18/52 60/104 57.7% pie 105 - 41T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 0 37T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 93 2 34T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 94 1 59T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 1 1T103
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 183 1 115T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 101 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 43 1 86T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 8 2 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 94 1 46T465
P 2006 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 103 1 22T312
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 140 2 49T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 816/884 586/884 1402/1768 79.3% pie



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