Election 2011 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-12-17 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1
Rep	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Analysis

I don't see things getting any better for the Dems - as of right now I think the GOP picks up KY. Might sound crazy right now, but I think I'll be borne out on this one.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					245
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	2	5	74	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	22/35	51/70	72.9%	1	53	255	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%	1	53	104	T	272
2014 Senate	35/36	26/36	61/72	84.7%	1	48	13	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	16/36	45/72	62.5%	1	48	145	T	300
2012 President	38/56	17/56	55/112	49.1%	1	472	754		760
2011 Governor	2/4	2/4	4/8	50.0%	1	326	79	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	22/37	54/74	73.0%	1	25	151	T	456
Aggregate Predictions	200/243	132/243	332/486	68.3%