PredictionsEndorse2012 Gubernatorial Predictions - SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-07-27 Version:6

Prediction Map
SupersonicVenue MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
SupersonicVenue MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-4-4314-4
Rep0+4+4000213+4
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Update 6: North Carolina from Tossup to Lean.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 10

Update 11: New Hampshire from D >40% to R >50%.


Version: 9

Update 10:

New Hampshire from R >40% to D >40%.


Version: 8

Update 9: Washington from D >40% to D >50%.


Version: 7

Update 8: Washington from R >40% to D >40%.

Missouri from Strong to Lean.


Version: 6

Update 6: North Carolina from Tossup to Lean.


Version: 5

Update 5: North Carolina from Lean to Tossup.


Version: 4

Update 4: Washington from D >40% to R >40%.


Version: 3

Update 3: Washington from R >40% to D >40%.


Version: 2

Update 2: West Virginia from Lean to Strong.


Version: 1

GOP picks up Washington, Montana, North Carolina and New Hampshire.

In terms of tossups, the Democrats have the best chance of holding Washington State.


Version History


Member Comments
 By: SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) 2012-07-27 @ 11:38:51 prediction Map
McCrory doing better in the polls recently. It seemed the last couple were outliers.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 50/56 30/56 80/112 71.4% pie 5 2 246T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 23/34 55/68 80.9% pie 3 2 2T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 2 6 67T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 10 2 99T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 10 2 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 131 98T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 38 4 314T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 17 2 164T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 8/11 17/22 77.3% pie 11 4 51T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 15/52 8/52 23/104 22.1% pie 4 - 184T231
Aggregate Predictions 264/328 172/328 436/656 66.5% pie



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