Election 2012 Gubernatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2012-09-04 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	4
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	4
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	3	4	7	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	2	1	3	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
19	11	8

Analysis

I will Concede North Carolina, not conceding Montana until I see polling closer to the election. Montana's Legislature is run by crazies and Schweitzer though not running is still very popular.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	1	88	47	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	1	63	211	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	1	63	5	T	228
2010 Senate	33/37	18/37	51/74	68.9%	1	2	206	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	1	2	17	T	312
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	1	168	299	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	14/36	46/72	63.9%	1	168	192	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	225/243	143/243	368/486	75.7%