PredictionsEndorse2012 Gubernatorial Predictions - Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:3

Prediction Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-2-2336-2
Rep0+2+2000213+2
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
16106
piepiepie

Analysis

It is with great pain that I must change New Hampshire from R to D. That makes me feel like vomiting.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 2

Ugh. After months of polls showing Inslee leading, I must (VERY reluctantly) change Washington from R to D. Double ugh.


Version: 1

This may need to be edited as the campaign continues. This is not set in stone, it's just my opinion of the status of these races.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2019 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 4 104T192
P 2018 Senate 29/35 14/35 43/70 61.4% pie 2 200 417T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 301 295T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 31 40T149
P 2016 President 42/56 12/56 54/112 48.2% pie 5 47 660T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 4 63 164T362
P 2016 Governor 11/12 7/12 18/24 75.0% pie 1 63 3T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 7 8T112
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 13 4 4T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 12 4 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 234 17T153
P 2012 President 53/56 33/56 86/112 76.8% pie 8 5 591T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 12 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 3 1 89T228
Aggregate Predictions 310/355 170/355 480/710 67.6% pie



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