PredictionsEndorse2012 Gubernatorial Predictions - Political Lefty (D-CA) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:1

Prediction Map
Political Lefty MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Political Lefty MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem5
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-1-1347-1
Rep0+1+1000213+1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
18117
piepiepie

Analysis

I think Montana and New Hampshire are the only toss-ups here. The only race I'm very unsure about is Montana, which has the most potential to go either way. Washington probably shouldn't have any trouble staying in Democratic hands. Otherwise, this map is fairly predictable.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 35/35 31/35 66/70 94.3% pie 1 0 1T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 1 0 5T272
P 2020 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 5 434T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 1 3 274T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 5 147T293
P 2016 President 47/56 27/56 74/112 66.1% pie 1 0 473T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 21/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 0 60T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 4/12 13/24 54.2% pie 1 0 119T279
P 2014 Governor 30/36 19/36 49/72 68.1% pie 1 0 56T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 0 17T153
P 2012 President 56/56 49/56 105/112 93.8% pie 2 0 4T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 1 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 1 0 24T228
P 2010 Senate 36/37 30/37 66/74 89.2% pie 1 0 4456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 2 0 11T312
P 2008 President 53/56 49/56 102/112 91.1% pie 7 1 3T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 4 1 9T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 101 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 16/33 46/66 69.7% pie 1 184 257T465
P 2006 Governor 33/36 19/36 52/72 72.2% pie 2 160 107T312
Aggregate Predictions 614/659 454/659 1068/1318 81.0% pie



Back to 2012 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved