NH - The only potential variable I see happening here is if Romney were to win NH and drag Lamontange along with him. It is so close that such is possible, but the problem is that to the key to such a scenario doesn't appear to be in the cards. Ovide is horrible candidate and the fact that he is only losing by a few points shows that a better candidate like say, John E. Sununu, would have probably been able to outrun Romney and win.

MT - This one is close too, but I think Hill has it for much the same reason that I think Rehberg has the Senate seat.

NC - The only question here is whether McCrory gets into the mid 50's and starts dragging in fellow Republicans like Forest, Tedesco, Causey, and Gardner onto the council of state.