PredictionsEndorse2013 Gubernatorial Predictions - Gendral (I-OR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2013-10-22 Version:2

Prediction Map
Gendral MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Gendral MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000000+1
Rep0000001010
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
321
piepiepie

Analysis

Christie will win easily, probably with 60%+ of the vote. McAuliffe will almost certainly win at this point, only real questions are what his final margin will be and whether he breaks 50%.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 32/35 25/35 57/70 81.4% pie 6 0 24T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 26/36 58/72 80.6% pie 6 3 56T
P 2016 President 47/56 29/56 76/112 67.9% pie 6 1 409T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 20/34 50/68 73.5% pie 8 1 89T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 3 0 67T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 0 8T
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 4 1 82T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 16/36 45/72 62.5% pie 4 1 145T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 14 17T
P 2012 President 56/56 47/56 103/112 92.0% pie 8 1 26T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 5 1 20T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 23/52 67/104 64.4% pie 30 - 16T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 25/37 60/74 81.1% pie 1 2 54T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 23/37 58/74 78.4% pie 1 2 74T
P 2008 President 53/56 46/56 99/112 88.4% pie 3 0 26T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 17/33 49/66 74.2% pie 2 0 144T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 3 86T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 6 7 31T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 22/36 57/72 79.2% pie 8 7 50T
P 2004 President 51/56 34/56 85/112 75.9% pie 1 162 706T
Aggregate Predictions 641/701 445/701 1086/1402 77.5% pie


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