PredictionsEndorse2013 Gubernatorial Predictions - reyndani (I-WI) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2013-10-24 Version:4

Prediction Map
reyndani MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
reyndani MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000000+1
Rep0000001010
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: reyndani (I-WI) 2013-10-24 @ 21:26:41 prediction Map
Virginia: I am now absolutely sure McAuliffe will win, with what is now close to a 10 point lead in many polls. Also polls have shown consistency ever since early September.
Confidence: Lean --> Strong
Overall I'm expecting McAuliffe to get something like 50-51% of the vote on November 5th.

New Jersey: Polls show Christie very near or hitting 60% WITH undecideds. Decided to move this to >60% for my prediction. Otherwise everything is the same.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 34/35 27/35 61/70 87.1% pie 5 1 1T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 4 3 38T
P 2016 President 50/56 32/56 82/112 73.2% pie 13 1 149T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 23/34 55/68 80.9% pie 16 1 2T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 11 0 67T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 6 0 8T
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 29 2 42T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 18/36 49/72 68.1% pie 24 2 56T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 2 17T
Aggregate Predictions 226/250 160/250 386/500 77.2% pie



Back to 2013 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Ad: History Posters! - History of the Political Parties II


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

© David Leip 2013 All Rights Reserved