Election 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2013-04-24 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	48

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	48

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
2	1	1

Analysis

A popular Christie and an uncertain VA gov race. I think the GOP has the upper hand. They tend to win both off year and gubernatorial races more than the Dems.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	26	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	15	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	21/36	52/72	72.2%	21	1	216	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	11	1	T	118
2020 President	48/56	41/56	89/112	79.5%	5	9	434	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%	3	7	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	2	41	10	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	1	8	130	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%	6	5	272	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%	4	7	205	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	2	98	T	149
2016 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%	21	1	48	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%	9	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%	7	4	25	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	0/3	2/6	33.3%	2	12	72	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%	21	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	25	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	195	98	T	153
2012 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%	30	14	699	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	9/33	35/66	53.0%	8	1	307	T	343
2012 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%	3	14	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	24/52	69/104	66.3%	41	-	8	T	231
2010 Senate	32/37	13/37	45/74	60.8%	1	206	306	T	456
2010 Governor	23/37	10/37	33/74	44.6%	1	206	281	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	563/659	353/659	916/1318	69.5%