PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - Ickey415 (--IA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-11 Version:4

Prediction Map
Ickey415 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Ickey415 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos11
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+7+2+90-1-110212+8
Rep0+1+1-8-1-911213-8
Ind+10+10-1-10000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
362610
piepiepie

Analysis

Net gain of +8 Dem Govs hands them the overall win in the election. Neither house of Congress changes hands. State gov't initiatives to advance the Far Right's agenda are slowed significantly. This sets up a Dem landslide in 2016.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 247
P 2016 President 46/56 22/56 68/112 60.7% pie 9 29 590T678
P 2016 Senate 26/34 7/34 33/68 48.5% pie 4 104 359362
P 2014 Senate 28/36 14/36 42/72 58.3% pie 7 9 308T382
P 2014 Governor 26/36 10/36 36/72 50.0% pie 4 24 276T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 167 17T153
P 2012 President 56/56 36/56 92/112 82.1% pie 9 12 435T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 18/33 49/66 74.2% pie 4 22 128T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 9/52 44/104 42.3% pie 11 - 98T231
Aggregate Predictions 250/305 117/305 367/610 60.2% pie


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