PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-31 Version:12

Prediction Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Tos11
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+30+3-3-2-5729-2
Rep+3+2+5-30-316319+2
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
473017
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 10

New York moves to Lean D in the wake of Cuomo's new scandal.


Version: 8

Kansas moves to Tossup.


Version: 7

Changed Pennsylvania from Tossup to Lean D.


Version: 6

I gleefully return Illinois to R after Quinn's racist/anti-Semitic tweets and the new probe. Hope to defeat him once and for all.


Version: 5

It is with great pain that I must switch Illinois from D to R following the accusations against Rutherford. I hope he can still pull it out before the primary next month.


Version: 4

Based on recent polls, I must regretfully flip Pennsylvania from R to D (mostly because nobody seems to want to primary Corbett.) South Carolina also moves to Tossup from Lean D.


Version: 3

Based on the recent polling showing Snyder leading (I suspect due to the Detroit bankruptcy and his support for expanding Medicaid), I'm changing Michigan from D to R. :) I hope that I'm not being overly optimistic on this one.


Version: 2

With Snyder's semi-announcement, it is with great pain that I must change Michigan from R to D. ='(


Version: 1

My preliminary predictions. There's still a lot of what-ifs that go into this equation, so take it with a grain of salt.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 29/35 14/35 43/70 61.4% pie 2 200 417T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 301 295T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 31 40T149
P 2016 President 42/56 12/56 54/112 48.2% pie 5 47 660T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 4 63 164T362
P 2016 Governor 11/12 7/12 18/24 75.0% pie 1 63 3T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 7 8T112
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 13 4 4T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 12 4 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 234 17T153
P 2012 President 53/56 33/56 86/112 76.8% pie 8 5 591T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 12 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 3 1 89T228
Aggregate Predictions 308/352 169/352 477/704 67.8% pie



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