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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:3
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
11/3: I list GA as tossup only because I think it will go to a runoff (2) At this point, ME, WI, CO and AK are still real toss ups!<br /> <br /> 11/4: Sticking with this map. Two points: 1) GA may go to a run off; (2) Only difference between my map and most analysts is Wisconsin--but as no polls put Walker =/> 50 %, I think the Democratic GOTV might do it for Burke.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 2 10/31: Down to five tossups, and I'm about to move Georgia to lean R. Version: 1 10/20/14: Polls do show Democrats doing better in governor's races--although I may be a bit optimistic in GA and WI.
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