PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - rocker2004 (D-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:6

Prediction Map
rocker2004 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
rocker2004 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos10
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+8+1+90-1-110313+8
Rep0+1+1-8-1-911213-8
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
342410
piepiepie

Analysis

1.GOP Governors Sam Brownback (KS), Paul LePage (ME), and Rick Scott (FL) are highly unpopular in their states<br /> 2.Georgia State Senator Jason Carter is way ahead in the polls.<br /> 3.Connecticut's low rate of job creation over the past four years has made some people wonder if Governor Dan Malloy is doing his job properly.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2018 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 4 18 246T
P 2018 Governor 30/36 19/36 49/72 68.1% pie 2 20 241T
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 116 40T
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 6 1 194T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 13/34 41/68 60.3% pie 9 1 336T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 3/12 12/24 50.0% pie 2 1 164T
P 2014 Senate 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 11 1 273T
P 2014 Governor 24/36 10/36 34/72 47.2% pie 6 1 289T
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 15 13 314T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 14/33 43/66 65.2% pie 14 72 221T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 4/11 15/22 68.2% pie 2 107 131T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 18/37 52/74 70.3% pie 15 0 181T
P 2010 Governor 26/37 12/37 38/74 51.4% pie 3 78 248T
P 2008 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 3 240 574T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 13/33 43/66 65.2% pie 2 240 303T
P 2007 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 147 102T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 7/33 38/66 57.6% pie 3 8 402T
P 2006 Governor 28/36 11/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 183 261T
P 2004 President 48/56 33/56 81/112 72.3% pie 7 9 1142T
Aggregate Predictions 547/638 295/638 842/1276 66.0% pie


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