Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:6

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+8	+1	+9	0	-1	-1	10	3	13	+8
Rep	0	+1	+1	-8	-1	-9	11	2	13	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
34	24	10

Analysis

1.GOP Governors Sam Brownback (KS), Paul LePage (ME), and Rick Scott (FL) are highly unpopular in their states<br /> 2.Georgia State Senator Jason Carter is way ahead in the polls.<br /> 3.Connecticut's low rate of job creation over the past four years has made some people wonder if Governor Dan Malloy is doing his job properly.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 5

Former President Jimmy Carter's grandson is ahead in the gubernatorial polls in Georgia.

Version: 3

1.The governors of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, and Florida currently have very low approval ratings.<br /> 2.State Senator Wendy Davis of Texas has been gaining in the gubernatorial polls in that state.<br /> 3.Wisconsin has a large Scandinavian-American bloc who tend to switch back and forth in gubernatorial races.

Version: 2

Many Maine residents are unhappy with Gov. Paul LePage.

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	277	49	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	20/35	49/70	70.0%	6	0	271	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%	5	0	202	T	272
2020 President	48/56	41/56	89/112	79.5%	18	35	434	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	11	33	337	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	4	35	249	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%	1	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%	4	18	246	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%	2	20	241	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%	6	1	194	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	13/34	41/68	60.3%	9	1	336	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%	2	1	164	T	279
2014 Senate	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%	11	1	273	T	382
2014 Governor	24/36	10/36	34/72	47.2%	6	1	289	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	15	13	314	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	14/33	43/66	65.2%	14	72	221	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%	2	107	131	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	15	0	181	T	456
2010 Governor	26/37	12/37	38/74	51.4%	3	78	248	T	312
2008 President	50/56	28/56	78/112	69.6%	3	240	574	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	13/33	43/66	65.2%	2	240	303	T	407
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	147	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%	3	8	402	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%	1	183	261	T	312
2004 President	48/56	33/56	81/112	72.3%	7	9	1142	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	702/817	403/817	1105/1634	67.6%

Links

	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Gubernatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2014 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home