PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - Du_Chateau (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-09-23 Version:1

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos11
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+80+80-1-110212+7
Rep0+1+1-70-712315-6
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
392613
piepiepie

Analysis

Republicans could posed to lose eight governorships. From most likely to least likely.<br /> <br /> Maine - New England state, making it hard for the Republicans to win.<br /> <br /> Pennsylvania - It seems that Pennsylvania is going to the Democrats.<br /> <br /> Florida - Crist wants his old job back as a Democrat.<br /> <br /> Maine - New England state, making it hard for the Republicans to win.<br /> <br /> Kansas - A surprise state. Polls are saying that the Democrats will win.<br /> <br /> Michigan - Snyder is having a hard time. Unions are probably going to be active in getting the vote out. Also there might be a lot anger in Wayne county about Detroit's bankruptcy that could be directed to the governor. If he loses Wayne county by a large margin, he will lose reelection.<br /> <br /> Wisconsin - Walker survived a recall but will he survive for a re-election. This will be decided on who shows up. Hitting the unions probably was not a good idea to get reelected.<br /> <br /> Georgia - If any other Democrat was running, I would put solidly in Republican.<br /> <br /> Alaska - The incumbent might lose to the independent candidate.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 15/35 45/70 64.3% pie 3 3 392T
P 2018 Governor 31/36 15/36 46/72 63.9% pie 2 11 285T
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T
Aggregate Predictions 404/471 218/471 622/942 66.0% pie


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