Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-14 Version:1

Prediction Map

jjnolla Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jjnolla Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	18
Ind	1
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	-2	-1	-3	8	3	11	+1
Rep	+2	+1	+3	-5	0	-5	14	3	17	-2
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	30	16

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	15/35	46/70	65.7%		2	19	362	T	483
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		2	52	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	17/34	49/68	72.1%		1	64	120	T	362
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	221	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	10/36	45/72	62.5%		2	21	282	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		1	21	123	T	300
2012 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%		1	350	561	T	760
2010 Senate	32/37	6/37	38/74	51.4%		4	2	408	T	456
2010 Governor	23/37	8/37	31/74	41.9%		1	47	290	T	312
2006 U.S. Senate	23/33	10/33	33/66	50.0%		2	122	445	T	465
2006 Governor	22/36	12/36	34/72	47.2%		1	122	297	T	312
2004 President	48/56	31/56	79/112	70.5%		1	10	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	378/455	197/455	575/910	63.2%

User Info

jjnolla Forum Profile

Links

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