PredictionsEndorse2015 Gubernatorial Predictions - IndyRep (R-MT) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-11-01 Version:3

Prediction Map
IndyRep MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
IndyRep MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+10-1-10000
Rep0+1+10-1-11010
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
532
piepiepie

Analysis

This is my final prediction. <br /> <br /> KY: Tossup, could go either way. My guess: Bevin 48.5-46.5 Conway <br /> LA: Tossup/Tilt D, Edwards 53-47 Vitter<br /> MS: Safe R, Bryant 63-35 Grey


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 1

Kentucky: A pure Toss-up. I guess my prediction will change once the candidates are determined and we get more polls. Louisiana: Likely Republican, Republicans have the edge despite Jindal's low approval numbers. Lean Republican if Mitch Landrieu runs, though still far from being a Toss-up. Mississippi: Solid R, Black turnout and the Democratic candidate will determine whether Bryant gets more than 60%, right now I am predicting that he will fall short.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 11 1 4T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 14 3 94T
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 116 40T
P 2016 President 52/56 37/56 89/112 79.5% pie 18 1 17T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 20/34 51/68 75.0% pie 13 1 60T
P 2016 Governor 8/12 4/12 12/24 50.0% pie 7 3 164T
P 2015 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 3 2 3T
Aggregate Predictions 161/178 114/178 275/356 77.2% pie



Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi

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