PredictionsEndorse2015 Gubernatorial Predictions - HarryHayfield (G-GBR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-11-03 Version:2

Prediction Map
HarryHayfield MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
HarryHayfield MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000000110
Rep0000001120
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
211
piepiepie

Analysis

Changed Kentucky from leaning Democrat to tossup. I think that Conway will still win but have a feeling it could be Florida 2000


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 54/56 36/56 90/112 80.4% pie 13 7 392T683
P 2020 Senate 29/35 21/35 50/70 71.4% pie 1 5 274T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 7 147T293
P 2016 President 52/56 30/56 82/112 73.2% pie 14 0 149T678
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 0 72T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 16/36 50/72 69.4% pie 2 1 217T382
P 2014 Governor 27/36 13/36 40/72 55.6% pie 2 1 241T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 11 98T153
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 18 1 401T760
P 2012 Senate 22/33 6/33 28/66 42.4% pie 1 267 334T343
P 2012 Governor 8/11 2/11 10/22 45.5% pie 1 30 220228
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 12/52 53/104 51.0% pie 48 - 64T231
P 2011 Governor 2/4 0/4 2/8 25.0% pie 1 33 100T106
P 2010 Senate 27/37 13/37 40/74 54.1% pie 3 2 391T456
P 2010 Governor 28/37 14/37 42/74 56.8% pie 3 2 230T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 1 41T103
P 2008 President 52/56 30/56 82/112 73.2% pie 22 0 442T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 11/33 41/66 62.1% pie 2 8 334T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 1 47 152T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 27/52 8/52 35/104 33.7% pie 33 - 127T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 15/49 56/98 57.1% pie 32 - 21T235
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 65 155T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 12/33 43/66 65.2% pie 7 1 328T465
P 2006 Governor 25/36 7/36 32/72 44.4% pie 3 26 301T312
P 2004 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 16 1 283T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 665/796 335/796 1000/1592 62.8% pie



Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi

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