PredictionsEndorse2017 Gubernatorial Predictions - Firestorm (I-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2017-07-16 Version:1

Prediction Map
Firestorm MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Firestorm MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
1 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
1 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+10-1-10000
Rep0+1+10-1-10000
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I chose a narrow Democratic win for New Jersey because of the general unpopularity of the Republican Governor in that state. I chose a very narrow Republican win for Virginia because I do not believe the support is there for Ralph Northam.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 452
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 115 98T149
Aggregate Predictions 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie


New Jersey Virginia Virginia

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