Election 2017 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2017-07-16 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		1 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	1
Ind	0
Non	48

Confidence States Won

		1 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	48

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

I chose a narrow Democratic win for New Jersey because of the general unpopularity of the Republican Governor in that state. I chose a very narrow Republican win for Virginia because I do not believe the support is there for Ralph Northam.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	46/56	29/56	75/112	67.0%	1	340	659	T	684
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	115	98	T	149
Aggregate Predictions	47/58	30/58	77/116	66.4%

Links

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