PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - man_of_honor885 (R-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-08 Version:2

Prediction Map
man_of_honor885 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
man_of_honor885 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos11
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+6+9000549+9
Rep+10+1-3-6-910717-8
Ind000-10-1000-1


Analysis

Moved Maine into the Democratic column and made Vermont, Kansas, and Minnesota closer.<br />


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: man_of_honor885 (R-PA) 2018-10-08 @ 17:29:40 prediction Map
Moved Maine into the Democratic Column and made Vermont, Kansas, and Minnesota closer

 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2018-10-26 @ 21:41:27 prediction Map
Funny about OK and KS, especially KS. Dems are dead on national level, esp. in OK, but on state level are surprisingly strong, or in KS case, the GOP very weak. I think KS can go Dem on the state level (KS actually went more for Hillary in 2016 than it did for Obama in 2012 believe it or not), because of the huge unpopularity of the state GOP. OK though is a much tougher nut to crack. Still too GOP even on the state level IMHO for it to flip. I could be wrong though as always...


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 11 0 132T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 6 2 94T
Aggregate Predictions 65/69 44/69 109/138 79.0% pie



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