PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - edwardsna (R-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:6

Prediction Map
edwardsna MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
edwardsna MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos12
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+5+6000549+6
Rep+10+1-1-5-612820-5
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
533122
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2018-11-06 @ 03:33:00 prediction Map
I love you my friend, but disagree on NV and definitely WI. I think you are overestimating the Republican Wave and Trump's popularity. The question that remains is will Dems turn out this year? We normally struggle in off-year elections, but 2018 seems to be exception so far. To me, Democratic turnout, or the lack thereof, will decide this election. I am also interested to see how independents vote as well, even though they are shrinking (sad but true) in both parties. Walker is in huge trouble in WI right now. KS could be GOP enough on the national level to remain that way statewide, but that remains to be seen...

Last Edit: 2018-11-06 @ 03:45:35


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 10 1 72T
P 2018 Governor 31/36 22/36 53/72 73.6% pie 6 3 164T
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 93 98T
P 2016 President 51/56 32/56 83/112 74.1% pie 50 1 114T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 22/34 53/68 77.9% pie 27 1 16T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 9 1 25T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 11 0 8T
Aggregate Predictions 158/176 107/176 265/352 75.3% pie



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