PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - bluemcdowell (D-WV) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:66

Prediction Map
bluemcdowell MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
bluemcdowell MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+7+9000549+9
Rep+10+1-2-7-911617-8
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
553421
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 60

OH is the race I'm most interested in, because it borders WV of course, and also DeWine is a rather weak GOP candidate there. I think OH is ours for the taking if the Dem is strong (I don't know if he/she is or not). Wait and see as always!


Version: 53

Some very interesting gubernatorial races this year, more so than usual. Wait and see as always!


Version: 47

State of the race as of July 07/11/2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 46

Republican best case scenario as of 07/09/2018. Those of you who believe in God and prayer please pray for me, my girlfriend Shelia, and my lifelong crush Crystal right now. Those who don't, just sent best wishes and best vibes to all 3 of us. All 3 of us are being hurt by our Pentecostal families. No wonder so many people are taking a dim view of white evangelical Christianity and its influence over the GOP right now. Sad but true for a final time. Wait and see as always!


Version: 45

2018 is a Purple Wave Election Year. I don't see a Red Wave or a Blue Wave but a Purple Wave instead. Wait and See as always!


Version: 44

2018 is a Purple Wave Election Year. I don't see a Red Wave or a Blue Wave but a Purple Wave instead. Wait and See as always!


Version: 42

Democratic worst case scenario as of June 25, 2018. Please pray for me, my girlfriend, and my lifelong crush friends. Our moms have hurt all three of us, and all strong Pentecostals too. Sadly the Religious Right, Republican Party, the and the USA as a whole is being destroyed by people like them, just like us 3 innocent victims. edwardsna you are 100 percent right on target. People in church have indeed forgotten what it is like to be a Christian. Sad but true for a final time. Wait and see as always. Personally I now do not believe there will either be a Red Wave or Blue Wave. I am expecting a 50/50 split. I wouldn't even be surprised if the House is 218-217, and the Senate 50/50! Yes the USA is that divided right now. However 40 out of 50 states are rock solid one way or the other. As of right now, only WI, PA, and FL will decide who wins the White House in 2020. I give Trump the slightest of advantages as of today 06/25/2018. It literally could go either way. I expect Trump to actually lose the popular vote by 5 million votes, but still be re-elected because of the Electoral College. Election Days 2018 and 2020 are still an eternity away, and anything and everything can and will happen in politics, and does so daily. Wait and see as always.


Version: 40

Generic map as of June 3, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 38

Current state of the race. It's the public's perception of the economy stupid. Wait and see as always!


Version: 37

I now think the "Blue Wave" in 2018 is not going to be as great as I initially thought it would be. This is bad for us Dems in the short term of course, but it could, and probably will, backfire on President Trump and the GOP in 2020, and be disastrous for the Republicans and President Trump in 2020. I now think the perception of the economy will continue to be great through Election Day 2018, but shortly afterwards the bottom will drop out. Also the elimination of Net Neutrality if and probably when it happens, will be disastrous for President Trump and the Republican Party as well. Short term gains for the GOP in 2018 will turn into long term pain for them in 2020. That's my prediction. Election Day 2020 (notice I said 2020 not 2018 this time I think the GOP will survive in 2018 but it will backfire on them in 2020) is still an eternity away, and anything and everything can and will happen in politics, and does so daily. Wait and see as always. The GOP will survive, and probably even thrive, in 2018, but their time is up in 2020. #DumpTrump2020 Only change in favor of the Dems is in Ohio, where I now think we have a strong Democrat running against a weak Republican in Mike DeWine. A very, very pleasant surprise lol.


Version: 36

Current state of the race in my honest opinion. Wait and see as always!


Version: 35

My latest Dem best case scenario. Again down a tick. Wait and see as always!


Version: 34

Since the Republican base loves Trump, the GOP is stuck with him, for better or for worse. It's the perception of the economy stupid. Case closed. Wait and see as always!


Version: 33

If Trump's approval rating keeps raising and the economy is still perceived to be strong, I can easily see this happening. I don't think it will, but it's possible. especially if the Republicans are fired up and us Dems take this election for granted. Wait and see as always!


Version: 32

Republican best case scenario.


Version: 31

Generic map time again lol.


Version: 30

Republican best case scenario as of May 1, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 29

Democratic best case scenario as of April 30, 2018. The only thing that can save the Republicans right now is the economy, and how it is doing shortly before the election could make or break the GOP as we currently know it here in the USA in 2018. Election Day 2018 is still an eternity away, and anything and everything can and will happen in politics, and does so daily. Wait and see as always!


Version: 28

Republican best case scenario as of April 27, 2018. It's even strongly trending Democratic right now. Yes! Wait and see as always!


Version: 27

Generic map as April 26, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 26

Barbara Bush best case Democratic scenario, as of right now April 23, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 25

Generic map as of today April 22, 2018. No Barbara Bush effect at all. I still the effect is just enough to flip Wisconsin though, and maybe Alaska too, as razor thin close as they currently are. Wait and see as always! I now have good reason to believe Ohio is now in play too believe it or not. A lot of dissention over there in the GOP primary, and really not strong candidates either. I now think we Dems have a real shot there, unlike before! Yes!


Version: 24

Barbara Bush "worst case Democratic scenario" map. Again in favor of Republicans obviously. Wait and see as always!


Version: 23

The "Barbara Bush Effect." Yes deaths do have impact on elections, almost always in favor of the party whom the politician, or in this case the family member, who passed away, especially if they're loved and respected like the Former First Lady was. This could end up biting us Dems big time in the end. Only time will tell. Wait and see as always! Notice I flipped Wisconsin. The Dems are probably still favored, but this could actually put the Republicans over the top there. Same is true in Alaska over the independent. Michigan is probably the most interesting state after that. We shall see! This could help the GOP in other key states as well. My generic, best case, and worst case scenario maps will obviously have to be altered in favor of the GOP as well...


Version: 22

The latest "all politics is local" map as of April 19, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 21

Generic map time again. Wait and see as always!


Version: 20

Democratic best case scenario as of April 15, 2018. Like I said over on the U.S. Senate maps this will change in time. Wait and see as always!


Version: 18

Democratic Best Case Scenario as of April 10, 2018, Wait And See As Always!


Version: 17

Generic map as of April 9, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 16

Again updated Republican best scenario map as of April 8, 2018. It's trending Democratic too. Lol. Wait and see as always!


Version: 15

Democratic best case gubernatorial scenario as of April 7, 2018. Wait and see as always!


Version: 14

Ol' generic map time. Lol.


Version: 13

Updated Republican best case scenario as of March 31, 2018, just to remind us Democrats once again not to rest on our laurels, and not to take this election lightly. Wait And See As Always!


Version: 11

Republican best case gubernatorial scenario. Again to remind my fellow Dems not to take this election lightly. #DumpTrump2020 #BlueWave2018


Version: 10

The GOP governor bench is stronger than the GOP Senate bench as of right now. They should do much better in the gubernatorial races than in the Senate races. Wait and see as always! #DumpTrump2020 #BlueWave2018


Version: 1

My first stab at gubernatorial races. They took too look to be very close as of right now, and could go either way. Wait and see as always!


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 135 0 24T
P 2018 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 66 2 122T
P 2016 President 51/56 23/56 74/112 66.1% pie 290 1 473T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 22 13 122T
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 85 2 401T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 5 36 2T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 63 0 63T
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 167 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 21 7 117T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 16 0 50T
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 4 27 135T
Aggregate Predictions 343/363 224/363 567/726 78.1% pie


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