Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:6

Prediction Map

Seattle Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Seattle Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	15
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	+9	+12	0	0	0	5	4	9	+12
Rep	+1	0	+1	-3	-9	-12	10	4	14	-11
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	31	25

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		2	0	69	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%		2	0	104	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	19	48	T	118
2020 President	55/56	41/56	96/112	85.7%		1	165	130	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		2	8	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		2	10	211	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		6	0	170	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		6	2	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	6	1	T	149
2016 President	48/56	33/56	81/112	72.3%		7	2	194	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	22/34	52/68	76.5%		8	1	35	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		6	4	67	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		2	24	72	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		9	1	158	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		10	1	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		1	21	98	T	153
2012 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%		4	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		7	1	11	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		4	1	51	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	479/530	341/530	820/1060	77.4%

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