Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:5

Prediction Map

Lechasseur Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Lechasseur Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+3	+4	0	0	0	5	4	9	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-3	-4	12	10	22	-3
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	33	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	33	49	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	18/35	47/70	67.1%		1	7	287	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		3	1	173	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	61	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		2	191	260	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	17/35	47/70	67.1%		2	189	358	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		2	191	147	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	59	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		4	0	170	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	21/36	54/72	75.0%		5	2	148	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	14	98	T	149
2016 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%		2	50	280	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%		3	50	213	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	5/12	15/24	62.5%		2	50	47	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	316/356	203/356	519/712	72.9%

User Info

	Lechasseur Forum Profile
	Lechasseur Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

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