PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - darthpi (D-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:26

Prediction Map
darthpi MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
darthpi MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+8+11000549+11
Rep+10+1-3-8-1110515-10
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
553223
piepiepie

Analysis

Final map, with just a few percentage adjustments from the previous iteration. No really a whole lot of analysis to add, large Democratic gains seem quite likely in the gubernatorial races this year.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: darthpi (D-PA) 2018-11-05 @ 20:46:09 prediction Map
And please, everyone, tomorrow: Get out there and vote. The future of our constitutional republic depends on it.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 247
P 2018 Senate 32/35 23/35 55/70 78.6% pie 26 1 67T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 26 3 122T372
P 2016 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 37 1 87T678
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 11 4 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 6 3 73T300
P 2012 President 56/56 45/56 101/112 90.2% pie 30 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 7 1 40T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 19/52 64/104 61.5% pie 42 - 25T231
P 2010 Senate 35/37 30/37 65/74 87.8% pie 26 1 5456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 6 1 29T312
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 19 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 37/52 19/52 56/104 53.8% pie 15 - 58T271
Aggregate Predictions 471/522 328/522 799/1044 76.5% pie



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