PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - RMH8824 (R-IA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
RMH8824 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
RMH8824 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+5+7000549+7
Rep+10+1-2-5-711819-6
Ind000-10-1000-1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
533023
piepiepie

Analysis

The Governor's races to watch are in Iowa and Georgia. In Iowa, a huge contrast, Fred Hubbell, former head of Planned Parenthood of Iowa and Kim Reynolds, who just signed one of the most Pro-Life bills in the country, are in a dead heat. In Georgia, a big opportunity for a Democratic upset, by the potential first African American female governor. <br /> <br /> Other big possible headlines: Scott Walker finally defeated by the blue climate. Michigan turns blue as well with the poor handling of the Flint water crisis. Florida elects (corrupt?) socialist governor.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 31/35 27/35 58/70 82.9% pie 1 3 15T
P 2018 Governor 30/36 23/36 53/72 73.6% pie 1 5 164T
P 2016 President 50/56 33/56 83/112 74.1% pie 24 1 114T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 24/34 55/68 80.9% pie 16 1 2T
P 2016 Governor 11/12 5/12 16/24 66.7% pie 8 2 25T
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 132 72T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 25/36 60/72 83.3% pie 35 0 21T
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 38 0 15T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 40 17T
Aggregate Predictions 223/250 159/250 382/500 76.4% pie



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