PredictionsEndorse2019 Gubernatorial Predictions - NYCMM (C-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2019-10-23 Version:1

Prediction Map
NYCMM MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
NYCMM MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep3
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep3
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-10-1000-1
Rep+10+1000112+1
Ind0000000000


Analysis

There is a possibility JBE wins, but it is more likely than not that he loses. <br /> <br /> I'm confident in both Bevin and Reeves winning. The former at a margin over 50% but less than 60%, the latter at a margin over 60%. Though there is the possibility that Reeves gets brought under 60%.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 303
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191


Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi

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