PredictionsEndorse2022 Gubernatorial Predictions - DPKdebator (I-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2022-01-25 Version:2

Prediction Map
DPKdebator MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
DPKdebator MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+2+2-4-1-59211-3
Rep+4+1+50-2-215318+3
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Moving Maine to a tossup, which feels more in line with my current prediction of the race.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 238
P 2023 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 229 1T115
P 2022 Senate 31/35 25/35 56/70 80.0% pie 9 1 147T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 26/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 0 104T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 71 48T118
P 2020 President 49/56 40/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 16 434T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 27/35 59/70 84.3% pie 1 14 7T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 1 16 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 148 35T192
P 2018 Senate 34/35 23/35 57/70 81.4% pie 17 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 26/36 58/72 80.6% pie 17 2 56T372
Aggregate Predictions 227/252 180/252 407/504 80.8% pie


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