Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-30 Version:4

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	264
Rep	274
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	243
Rep	202
Ind	0
Tos	93

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+2	0	+12	0	0	0	20	2	252	+12
Rep	0	0	0	-2	0	-12	29	3	274	-12
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
68	44	20	4	0

Analysis

Fixed some errors.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 3

I honestly think this is the closest it;s going to get to be accurate.

Version: 2

Possibly my final prediction.

Version: 1

Obama is the 1st Democrat since Johnson to win Virginia, He also wins Colorado, Iow, and New Mexico. McCain is the 1st Republican to win Minnesota since Nixon, McCain also wins New Hampshire and Wisconsin. New Hampshire and Washington State are in 30% brackets each due to strong support for Libertarians in NH, and strong support for Greens in WA. 1 vote in Maine goes for Barr, Nebraska's 2nd Disctrict goes to Obama instead of McCain.

McCain wins with only a few more delegates.

Version History

Member Comments

By: Xahar (D-CA) 2008-11-03 @ 23:13:44
Really? The confidence map is...out there.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	48/56	20/56	68/112	60.7%	4	5	1082	T	1,505
2008 Senate	23/33	7/33	30/66	45.5%	3	7	401	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%	1	22	232	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	79/100	32/100	111/200	55.5%

Links

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