PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Aguagon (D-AZ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:13

Prediction Map
Aguagon MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Aguagon MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem353
 
Rep185
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem264
 
Rep157
 
Ind0
 
Tos117
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+80+101000202252+101
Rep000-80-101233185-101
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
101504443
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Sparing all the usual hoopla, this is my final answer. If I was able to go back in time and show this map to myself two months ago, Past Me would probably declare Present Me a hack.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 3 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 29/36 62/72 86.1% pie 1 3 2T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 2 1T149
P 2016 President 50/56 35/56 85/112 75.9% pie 3 0 66T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 22/34 53/68 77.9% pie 1 0 16T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 4/12 14/24 58.3% pie 1 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 24 72T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 3 1 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 3 1 73T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 64 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 7 1 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 7 1 11T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 4 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 37/52 16/52 53/104 51.0% pie 23 - 64T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 8 0 34T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 4 0 11T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 21 1T103
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 13 1 6T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 22/52 61/104 58.7% pie 20 - 38T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 21/49 59/98 60.2% pie 17 - 14235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 169 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 27/33 58/66 87.9% pie 7 2 10T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 8 1 44T312
Aggregate Predictions 674/753 488/753 1162/1506 77.2% pie


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