PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Sheliak5 (D-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:54

Prediction Map
Sheliak5 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Sheliak5 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages

No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 20

Obama/Sebelius vs. McCain/Sanford

Version: 19

sad but true if it is hillary vs. mccain. i know, i know. i don't like it either. unfortunately i'm really not sure if hillary can do much better than this...

Version: 18

clinton/ clark vs. mccain/huckabee

Version: 16

clinton/clark vs. mccain/sanford

i think if clinton wants to avoid a close race she must bite the bullet and pick obama as vp. this scenario, i think, is just about as positive as it gets for her if obama is not selected.

Version: 15

obama/bayh vs. romney/barbour vs. paul/hagel

Version: 14

obama/bayh vs. romney/barbour vs. paul/hagel

Version: 12

Obama vs. Huckabee

Closest states will be Virginia, Missouri, Arizona, and Florida.

Version: 10

Obama vs. Huckabee

Version: 3

I think a conservative third party candidate is almost certainly going to be in this race, and that will send many Republican-leaning states in Mid-Appalachia into the Democratic column, while seriously reducing margins in other conservative states.

Version: 1

Clinton/Clark vs. Giuliani/Thompson

Version History

Member Comments
 By: applemanmat (R-NJ) 2008-12-21 @ 18:15:12
You were pretty accurate overall. But giving Obama North Dakota was stupid considering it hasn't voted democratic in like 100 years. But good job overall.prediction Map

 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-12-22 @ 16:54:47
Applemanmat, EVERY state voted Dem in 1964 except the crazy Deep South (which went Dem in 1976 anyway, thanks to the peanut farmer) and Arizona in 1992. So every state in the nation has gone Dem at least once since 1964.
Quite a few of them haven't since, though. Those would be AK, UT, NE, WY, ID, ND, SD, OK and KS.
Just as every state has gone GOP at least once since 1972. And only MN hasn't since then.

North Dakota was indeed a long shot, though. Valid point. Still, it was a bigger win for McCain than expected -bigger than SD.
But you know, over there there are more sheep and cows to poll than actual people...
prediction Map

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 54 1 6T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 10 6 172T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 4 28 27T
P 2008 Dem Primary 41/52 20/52 61/104 58.7% pie 3 - 38T
P 2008 Rep Primary 30/49 10/49 40/98 40.8% pie 1 - 97T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 48 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 11 4 88T
P 2006 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 2 4 71T
P 2004 President 55/56 24/56 79/112 70.5% pie 26 3 1285T
Aggregate Predictions 292/329 169/329 461/658 70.1% pie

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