Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:19

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	329
Rep	209
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	273
Rep	174
Ind	0
Tos	91

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+7	0	+77	0	0	0	20	2	252	+77
Rep	0	0	0	-7	0	-77	24	3	209	-77
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
93	47	40	4	2

Analysis

State McCain Obama
Alabama 62% 37%
Alaska 61% 36%
Arizona 55% 44%
Arkansas 54% 45%
California 44% 54%
Colorado 52% 47%
Connecticut 44% 54%
Delaware 46% 53%
DC 9% 89%
Florida 52% 47%
Georgia 58% 41%
Hawai'i 45% 54%
Idaho 68% 30%
Illinois 44% 55%
Indiana 60% 39%
Iowa 50% 49%
Kansas 62% 37%
Kentucky 60% 40%
Louisiana 57% 42%
Maine 45% 54%
Maryland 43% 56%
Massachusetts 37% 62%
Michigan 48% 51%
Minnesota 48% 51%
Mississippi 59% 40%
Missouri 53% 46%
Montana 59% 39%
Nebraska 66% 33%
Nevada 50% 48%
New Hampshire 49% 50%
New Jersey 46% 53%
New Mexico 50% 49%
New York 40% 58%
North Carolina 56% 44%
North Dakota 63% 36%
Ohio 51% 49%
Oklahoma 66% 34%
Oregon 47% 51%
Pennsylvania 48% 51%
Rhode Island 39% 59%
South Carolina 58% 41%
South Dakota 60% 38%
Tennessee 57% 43%
Texas 61% 38%
Utah 72% 26%
Vermont 39% 59%
Virginia 54% 45%
Washington 46% 53%
West Virginia 56% 43%
Wisconsin 49% 50%
Wyoming 69% 29%
TOTAL 51% 48%

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	30/37	20/37	50/74	67.6%	10	88	221	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%	9	88	91	T	312
2008 President	51/56	42/56	93/112	83.0%	19	1	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%	8	1	48	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	4	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	47/52	26/52	73/104	70.2%	14	-	5	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	44/49	26/49	70/98	71.4%	17	-	2		235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	73	1	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	251/278	169/278	420/556	75.5%

Links

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