Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:12

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	265
Rep	273
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	212
Rep	195
Ind	0
Tos	131

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+4	0	+34	-1	0	-21	19	2	231	+13
Rep	+1	0	+21	-4	0	-34	27	3	252	-13
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
82	45	31	4	2

Analysis

I have to hope there is a chance. Socialism has destroyed every economy in the course of economic history. It won't work here. I don't know why people are voting for Socialism. It will break the back of this country.

G-d bless the Republic of Texas

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 11

ACORN will ensure that Obama flips OH. McCain is playing softball. We will now become a socialist state where the state makes our decisions for us. We will surrender more of our freedom for the "betterment" of the nation. The first amendment will go away with the passing of the fairness doctrine. My wife will lose her job because of socialistic national healthcare where a bureaucrat will decide whether we need treatment and whether that treatment would be necessary because of the age of the patient. My wife works at a small hospital in Austin. Only 26 beds. The hospital will be forced to close once the government takes over the industry.

Obama will raise taxes to Jimmy Carter era rates. Now I know I graduated with a degree in economics back in the 70's, but how is this good policy in this current economic state? You think this is bad now. Wait until the Democrats control both the executive and legislative. You young voters born in the late 80's and 90's have no idea what is about to hit you. Everyone is just caught up in the mantra and platitudes of change. Change is coming and its going to destroy our country. Socialism has never succeeded in the history of government. How are we going to make it work? Democrats can no longer blame Republicans, though they still will, for they will have complete control of the government. So much for gas prices coming down. You'll get the country you think you want and hate the reality of it. How deaf we are to history. Enjoy your country. As for me, I'm buying as many guns as I can before that too becomes illegal.

G-d Bless the Republic of Texas

Version: 10

I think the only way McCain can win is flipping either MI, WI or MN. CO I believe will go Dem. Maybe not, but in my prediction it does. NH I think will go back GOP, but it'll be very close.

Version: 9

Different thought. I think either MN, WI or Mi will flip. CO will probably go Dem. We'll see what happens after the debates.

Version: 8

I'm going to switch Michigan. I have a feeling it will switch.

Version: 7

Romney out. So too is Michigan and New Hampshire. Palin in.

McCain/Palin vs. Obama/Biden

Version: 6

My newest update. We'll see. McCain/Romney vs. Obama/Biden

Version: 5

McCain/Obama

Version: 4

The Bloomberg effect.

Version: 1

This is my guess if it is a Gulianni/Hillary contest. I'll do another one once the canidates are officially picked. I will then update based on who the candidates are. I could care less about polls right know.

Version History

Member Comments

By: darthpi (D-PA) 2008-11-04 @ 16:55:59
Because...it's not socialism? And the voters realize that.

By: TX_1824 (C-TX) 2008-11-04 @ 17:22:41
Because it is socialism. They want to take from the top earners and distribute it to the lower earners. Obama said that less then 6% of the earners in this country make more than $96,000 a year. He wants to raise taxes on them and "spread it around". Redistribution?! G-d bless the Republic of Texas

By: nyquil_man (D-AR) 2008-11-06 @ 18:51:12
You can call it "redistribution" if you like. The fact is, the federal income tax has always been a progressive tax. And no, it hasn't destroyed the country. Did "socialism" destroy this country in the 30s, 40s, 50s, 60s, and 70s, when the wealthiest Americans paid at rates of anywhere from 63-91%? Did "socialism" break this country's back during the Reagan years, when the top rate was 50%? The current tax rate for the highest income bracket is 35%. Obama proposes lifting that rate to its level during the Clinton years, which is about 39-40%. It says a lot about your idea of "socialism" that you think reducing by 11% the rate paid during the first six years of Reagan's term is a form of it.

By: palinode (--CA) 2008-11-08 @ 15:55:17
Calling Obama a socialist is ABSURD. You REALLY should research socialism. The Socialist Candidate for President, who like me, IS a socialist... would argue that if you receive millions in major donations from MAJOR CORPORATIONS, you do NOT qualify as someone who is ANTI-capitalist. cough I don't care what his tax relief plan sounds like to you. It's NO WHERE NEAR SOCIALIST POLICY. I WISH IT WAS!!!

By: Bruinspolisci (D-CA) 2008-11-09 @ 09:59:16
Actually, Socialism is state ownership of the means of production and corporations or government-mandated services on the private sectors. Unfortuantely for Republicans, the greatest movement to socailism, since the New Deal, has occurred under the Bush administration (The capital investments and purchasing of the prime stock options in banks and the medicare extentions program are two prime examples.

By: Tokar (D-VA) 2008-11-11 @ 00:56:33
Fail...PA went to Obama by 10 points. Ouch.

By: Liberallover (-NY) 2008-11-11 @ 21:26:30
Guys, guys. You didn't get the memo? McCarthyism is the new patriotism!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%	12	0	442	T	1,505
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	147	102	T	167
2004 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	17	1	359	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	105/115	69/115	174/230	75.7%

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