PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - andymacnoon (I-WA) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2008-09-01 Version:1

Prediction Map
andymacnoon MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
andymacnoon MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem243
 
Rep295
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem183
 
Rep240
 
Ind0
 
Tos115
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+20+12-10-21192231-9
Rep+10+21-20-12293274+9
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
70432241
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

The big problem for Obama is Pennsylvania given the strong Hillary support there and a governor who is still hostile to his campaign. I also don't see either Nevada or Colorado breaking his way; McCain's western credentials will win in the end. Virginia will be very close, but I still see it sticking to tradition. The Democrats are wasting their time in Ohio, as Kennedy did in 1960 and Kerry did in 2004---when push comes to shove, it's a Republican state.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 1 32 401T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 10/33 41/66 62.1% pie 1 32 241T343
P 2008 President 47/56 23/56 70/112 62.5% pie 1 64 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 14/33 46/66 69.7% pie 1 64 227T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 64 86T264
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 12/33 45/66 68.2% pie 1 0 278T465
P 2006 Governor 32/36 9/36 41/72 56.9% pie 1 0 256312
Aggregate Predictions 239/258 114/258 353/516 68.4% pie


Back to 2008 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved