Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:14

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	353
Rep	185
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	291
Rep	160
Ind	0
Tos	87

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+8	0	+101	0	0	0	20	2	252	+101
Rep	0	0	0	-8	0	-101	23	3	185	-101
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
93	50	38	4	1

Analysis

My final, final Electoral College map for the 2008 Presidential Election between Barack Obama and John McCain. The only modification in this map is the moving of Missouri back into the McCain column and Florida and Ohio into the Obama column. With these final changes, Obama's EV total moves up to 353 whilst McCain's drops down to 185.

Note: This prediction map is exactly the same as the my supposedly final map, created yesterday. With the exception of Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District now leaning Republican.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%	14	0	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%	3	3	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	0	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	44/52	21/52	65/104	62.5%	14	-	28	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	16/49	56/98	57.1%	15	-	21	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	137	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	184/204	105/204	289/408	70.8%

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