Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:4
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Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
As I had predicted a few weeks ago (without any evidence and relying on my gut instincts), PA is making a late trend towards McCain. yes, he is still down in PA by about 4 points but it is a dramatic improvement from his double digit deficit. I believe he can pull off the upset in this state. Likewise, VA is trending back to McCain again even though he's still a couple of points down. On the other hand, I think McCain will lose NV, CO and NM due to the fact that Hispanics have ironically turned their backs on him. He can save FL since Cuban-Americans typically do not vote like the rest of Hispanics.
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