Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-09-24 Version:22

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	294
Rep	244
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	259
Rep	228
Ind	0
Tos	51

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+4	+1	+42	0	0	0	20	2	252	+42
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-1	-42	27	2	244	-42
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
90	46	36	5	3

Analysis

Pretty unpredictable election... Given the current economic situation, I'll give the advantage to Obama in the upper Midwest. A republican isn't likely to take anything in the northeast or out west given current circumstances. Obama will squeak out a win in NE CD-2 and will make it interesting in CD-1 but will fall short.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%	22	41	219	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%

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