Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-07 Version:8

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	386
Rep	152
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	297
Rep	118
Ind	0
Tos	123

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+13	0	+134	0	0	0	20	2	252	+134
Rep	0	0	0	-13	0	-134	18	3	152	-134
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
83	47	31	4	1

Analysis

This sight gives Obama a solid 309 EV, so it was time for a few more changes.

Give Missouri to Obama.

The next battlegrounds are Georgia, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: satyrday (I-MI) 2008-10-07 @ 12:51:11
The mavericks are about to be sent to the glue factory.

By: pace (D-IL) 2008-10-07 @ 19:46:52
ROFL. Timber! What fun times indeed to be a Democrat. Oh how I hope McCain tries to go negative tonight. In this media cycle the media will just crucify him if he does.

By: satyrday (I-MI) 2008-10-14 @ 12:59:35
This site now gives Obama 338 EV. The only way that McCain can win now is if he: a) personally captures Osama bin Laden, b) makes a deal where all of the middle east stays peaceful, and gives us their oil for half price, and c) finds a trillion dollars that Bush had misplaced, to pour into our economy, and give everyone huge tax rebates.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2008-10-14 @ 17:54:06
Or suspends his...campaign...and declares that this is a simply a referendum on Obama and thus doesn't need to campaign any more. Sarah Palin continues to go to events where she either a. get booed or b. yells at her own supporters. Also, this is about right if in fact Obama is ahead by ten points (which I'm not quite sure is the case). What I'm saying is that it's implausible. If he had Clinton on the ticket he could already start putting away Arkansas and Kentucky too.

By: pace (D-IL) 2008-10-14 @ 21:00:43
I disagree. I think the only way for McCain to win is to awaken from a terrible terrible nightmare to discover that HE is actually Barrack Hussein Obama!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	54/56	40/56	94/112	83.9%	3	157	367	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	17/33	45/66	68.2%	2	226	198	T	343
2008 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%	8	28	404	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	133/145	89/145	222/290	76.6%

Links

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