PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - tinman64 (I-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:13

Prediction Map
tinman64 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
tinman64 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem338
 
Rep200
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem273
 
Rep174
 
Ind0
 
Tos91
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+70+86000202252+86
Rep000-70-86243200-86
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
94493843
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Popular Vote estimates (allowing 1% for minor party candidates):

Alabama: 59-40 R

Alaska: 56-43 R

Arizona: 55-44 R
Arkansas: 55-44 R

California: 57-42 D

Colorado: 52-47 D

Connecticut: 56-43 D

Delaware: 56-43 D

DC: 90-9 D

Florida: 51-48 R

Georgia: 54-45 R

Hawaii: 63-36 D

Idaho: 62-37 R

Illinois: 59-40 D

Indiana: 52-47 R

Iowa: 56-43 D

Kansas: 57-42 R

Kentucky: 56-43 R

Louisiana: 55-44 R

Maine: 57-42 D

Maryland: 58-41 D

Massachusetts: 58-41 D

Michigan: 54-45 D

Minnesota: 54-45 D

Mississippi: 57-42 R

Missouri: 51-48 R

Montana: 53-46 R

Nebraska: 58-41 R

Nevada: 50-49 D

New Hampshire: 53-46 D

New Jersey: 56-43 D

New Mexico: 55-44 D

New York: 60-39 D

North Carolina: 52-47 R

North Dakota: 54-45 R

Ohio: 51-48 D

Oklahoma: 62-37 R

Oregon: 55-44 D

Pennsylvania: 53-46 D

Rhode Island: 61-38 D

Tennessee: 57-42 R

Texas: 56-43 R

Utah: 65-34 R

Vermont: 62-37 D

Virginia: 52-47 D

Washington: 55-44 D

West Virginia: 55-44 R

Wisconsin: 56-43 D

Wyoming: 60-39 R


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 291
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 124
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 99
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 15 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 21/36 53/72 73.6% pie 14 2 164T372
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 64 1 325T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 18/34 50/68 73.5% pie 15 0 89T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 6/12 15/24 62.5% pie 10 2 47T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 9 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 23/36 57/72 79.2% pie 11 1 82T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 10 1 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 1 17T153
P 2012 President 54/56 40/56 94/112 83.9% pie 34 2 367T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 13 2 164T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 6 2 51T228
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 9 0 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 9 0 17T312
P 2008 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 13 1 115T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 17/33 49/66 74.2% pie 4 1 144T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 4 1 27T264
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 20 1 65T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 19/36 54/72 75.0% pie 16 1 81T312
P 2004 President 55/56 43/56 98/112 87.5% pie 35 3 14T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 607/649 404/649 1011/1298 77.9% pie


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