Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:10

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	273
Rep	265
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	243
Rep	189
Ind	0
Tos	106

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+3	0	+21	0	0	0	20	2	252	+21
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-21	28	3	265	-21
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
78	45	28	4	1

Analysis

Final prediction.

I think the whole election swings on PA and CO. I'm giving both to Obama but really I don't think either can be called fair and square without being a hack for one side or the other.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%	3	1	591	T	760
2010 Senate	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%	2	1	242	T	456
2008 President	49/56	29/56	78/112	69.6%	10	4	574	T	1,505
2008 Governor	8/11	4/11	12/22	54.5%	1	31	248	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	25/33	8/33	33/66	50.0%	1	48	445	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	14/36	46/72	63.9%	1	46	192	T	312
2004 President	52/56	30/56	82/112	73.2%	42	4	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	247/285	139/285	386/570	67.7%

Links

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