Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:98

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	402
Rep	136
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	402
Rep	136
Ind	0
Tos	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+14	0	+150	0	0	0	20	2	252	+150
Rep	0	0	0	-14	0	-150	17	3	136	-150
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
81	46	29	4	2

Analysis

This is my final prediction map that I'm carrying into tomorrow and beyond. I still think Obama/Biden will carry the day with a landslide due to the economic mess we are in, and I think the fact that in the last 48 hours news of Cheney and then Bush hitting the stump for McCain/Palin will not help with many undecided and independent voters, plus polls showing that amongst independent voters Obama is ahead by 15%, women by 13%, McCain is only getting 25% of hispanic voters as compared to Bush being over 40% in '04.

I really think it's time for a change, and we will be getting it in a BIGGER way then we all might think! I do believe yes, that Obama can win all the states I have listed here in this manner and that includes Mississippi which will have a high black and poor white turnout then thought possible!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: darthpi (D-PA) 2008-11-03 @ 23:01:19
It would be amazing if this happened...

By: Liberallover (-NY) 2008-11-04 @ 00:02:46
Yes, and don't forget WV and AR. Oh and NE-02 too.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	23/37	10/37	33/74	44.6%	3	325	441	T	456
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	2	2	56	T	103
2008 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%	98	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%	21	1	257	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	8	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	7/52	36/104	34.6%	8	-	124	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	21/49	1/49	22/98	22.4%	11	-	152	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	16	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%	51	1	113	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%	44	1	132	T	312
2004 President	46/56	38/56	84/112	75.0%	114	1	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	280/368	148/368	428/736	58.2%

Links

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