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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:7
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
11/4/2008: First iteration: 1) If Obama wins Ohio and Florida or North Carolina, he can thank the financial crisis. (2) But I maintain he was going to win anyway; Obama will win all the Kerry states + Iowa + New Nexico for 264 EV, and Colorado, Virginia and Nevada put him over the top for a floor of 291 EV, ceiling of 353 EV. (3) If Obama actually skyrockets and wins Georgia or Montana, he can thank Bob Barr. Pop vote: Obama/Biden 52%, McCain/Palin 46.5%
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