Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-10-29 Version:5

Prediction Map

Brandon W Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Brandon W Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	277
Rep	261
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	207
Rep	240
Ind	0
Tos	91

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+2	0	+25	0	0	0	20	2	252	+25
Rep	0	0	0	-2	0	-25	29	3	261	-25
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
73	44	24	4	1

Analysis

I think as we get closer to the election, the race will tighten significantly. It will be somewhat similiar to 2004 in the end.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	33/37	20/37	53/74	71.6%		2	33	167	T	456
2008 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		5	372	791	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	5/52	2/52	7/104	6.7%		2	-	247	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	22/49	10/49	32/98	32.7%		7	-	118	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	62	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	19/33	49/66	74.2%		17	0	185	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	18/36	52/72	72.2%		7	0	107	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	175/266	97/266	272/532	51.1%

Links

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