Election 2008 Dem Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-06-03 Version:55

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Clinton	21
Edwards	0
Obama	31
Richardson	0
Other	0

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Clinton	19
Edwards	0
Obama	17
Richardson	0
Other	0
Tossup	16

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
67	47	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 46

final prediction: Dems split the remaining contests:
Hillary IN, KY, WV, and PR
Obama OR, NC, MT, and SD

Compromise: Hillary stays in the race but loses the race by June 3rd. Puerto Rico and Guam popular votes don't really count.

MI and FL gets seated after Obama is nominated by the end of the primaries.

Version: 45

Final prediction, Clinton loses in all categories and Obama wins primary.

Version: 33

Clinton makes a comeback and win IN, NC and PA while FL and MI appeals to the state Democratic party.

Version: 14

Post Edwards dropping out helps Obama in the southern primaries.
Everything goes to 50% due to two candidate race.

Version: 8

Hillary is the safer bet than Giuliani is to win the nomination, but what type of bounce will SC have on the race. Feb 5th will decide the nomination.

Version: 4

Final predictions before the voting begins.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	25	22	108	T	115
2022 Senate	25/35	12/35	37/70	52.9%	271	0	298	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%	281	0	265	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	11	41	48	T	118
2020 President	45/56	26/56	71/112	63.4%	443	5	670	T	684
2020 Senate	24/35	8/35	32/70	45.7%	339	3	422		423
2020 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	127	5	264	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	61	4	104	T	192
2018 Senate	28/35	15/35	43/70	61.4%	201	1	417	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%	212	3	330	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	1	99	98	T	149
2016 President	47/56	20/56	67/112	59.8%	337	3	597	T	678
2016 Senate	26/34	12/34	38/68	55.9%	344	2	352	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%	127	3	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	72	0	57	T	112
2014 Senate	28/36	12/36	40/72	55.6%	435	0	337	T	382
2014 Governor	25/36	6/36	31/72	43.1%	402	0	293	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	19	1	98	T	153
2012 President	55/56	25/56	80/112	71.4%	291	1	681	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	19/33	50/66	75.8%	171	1	111	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%	103	1	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	29/52	8/52	37/104	35.6%	116	-	121	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	18	186	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	15/37	49/74	66.2%	281	1	242	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	8/37	42/74	56.8%	280	1	230	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	26	40	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	29/56	81/112	72.3%	129	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	16/33	49/66	74.2%	95	1	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	39	3	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	47/52	20/52	67/104	64.4%	55	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	39/49	14/49	53/98	54.1%	23	-	36	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	8	24	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%	117	0	20	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	114	0	10	T	312
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	167	1	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	833/994	407/994	1240/1988	62.4%

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