PredictionsMock2008 Dem Presidential Primary Predictions - Nik (R-TN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-06-03 Version:15

Prediction Map
Nik MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Nik MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton31
 
Edwards0
 
Obama21
 
Richardson0
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton20
 
Edwards0
 
Obama12
 
Richardson0
 
Other0
 
Tossup20
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
643925
piepiepie

Analysis

I'm a little bit pissed that I changed my Puerto Rico analysis a few days ago based on the premise that there was going to be a caucus in the middle of June and that's what the points would be based on...and then the site used the primary. So just for the record...I knew that Hillary Clinton was going to get more than 60% in the primary. I just adjusted to show a smaller win for a caucus later in June cause I figure at that point her candidacy would be suspended and she wouldn't win by as much. And I think that if the administrator realized that the numbers used were going to be those of the primary, and not some future caucus...then he REALLY should have changed the dates on the site before predictions were taken down so we knew what he was talking about before he started taking away points. That's all. FUCKING LAME.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 24/35 54/70 77.1% pie 8 0 106T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 29/36 61/72 84.7% pie 7 2 6T
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 2 98T
P 2016 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 8 0 66T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 20/34 51/68 75.0% pie 6 0 60T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 8/12 18/24 75.0% pie 6 0 3T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 1 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 16 0 4T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 16 0 22T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 4 1 1T
P 2012 President 47/56 29/56 76/112 67.9% pie 11 1 702T
P 2012 Senate 23/33 10/33 33/66 50.0% pie 5 1 319T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 4 1 179T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 20/52 63/104 60.6% pie 25 - 27T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 2 34 12T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 24/37 57/74 77.0% pie 20 1 100T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 20 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 10 1T
P 2008 President 45/56 28/56 73/112 65.2% pie 21 0 791T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 9 0 81T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 9 0 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 25/52 64/104 61.5% pie 15 - 33
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 22/49 63/98 64.3% pie 14 - 7T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 2 51 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 21/33 51/66 77.3% pie 9 1 133T
P 2006 Governor 36/36 23/36 59/72 81.9% pie 9 1 36T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 18 1 49T
Aggregate Predictions 707/813 475/813 1182/1626 72.7% pie


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