PredictionsMock2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions - jamuja (D-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-02-01 Version:1

Prediction Map
jamuja MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
jamuja MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain24
 
Romney16
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee3
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain3
 
Romney7
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee1
 
Other0
 
Tossup32
 

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: jamuja (D-PA) 2008-02-01 @ 22:46:01
McCain will win Arizona because he is Senator there.

Romney will win upper West and Most of Northeast, Mormons will vote for him in the West and he will win most of the Northeast because he was Governor of Massachusetts.
prediction Map

 By: outzawe (R-KY) 2008-02-01 @ 23:30:12
With Giuliani's endorsement, McCain has New York, New Jersey, Delaware, and Connecticut essentially locked up -- he already led in the polls there before Giuliani's endorsement. I also doubt Romney will win West Virginia (high percentage of veterans). It's your map, of course.

Other than that though, I'd say it's a very plausible map.

I suppose this also assumes that Huckabee sticks it out till the convention?

Last Edit: 2008-02-01 @ 23:31:36
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 52/56 34/56 86/112 76.8% pie 10 1 324T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 3 1 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 2 1 27T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 32/52 10/52 42/104 40.4% pie 11 - 95T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 13/49 51/98 52.0% pie 7 - 47T235
Aggregate Predictions 166/201 82/201 248/402 61.7% pie


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