PredictionsMock2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions - mdcal06 (R-NC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-04-13 Version:20

Prediction Map
mdcal06 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
mdcal06 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain42
 
Romney8
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee2
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain17
 
Romney3
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee1
 
Other0
 
Tossup31
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
634023
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 5

Huck's a fad and fades; it's a 3-way convention free for all...because that would be more fun.


Version: 4

McCain, Romney, and Fred are out after Feb 5th.
Giuliani and Huck battle it out until the Convention, in which Giuliani is nominated and selects Huck as Veep.


Version: 3

It's a three-way contest after Super Tuesday between Giuliani (in the lead after winning CA, NY, IL, and NJ), Huckabee (with big wins in the South), and a resurgent McCain (momentum comes from NH win).

McCain doesn't win too many delegates, making the Convention an interesting free-for-all.


Version: 1

The January states split themselves between Huckabee and Romney.

Giuliani has the resources to stay in and do well on February 5th in the big states (California, New Jersey, New York) and stays in - but after only winning their home states McCain and Thompson bow out.

After February 5th it is largely a regional contest - Huckabee dominates the South and its evangelicals, Giuliani the North and its moderates, and Romney takes the West and the libertarians. Tancredo stays on, Kucinich-like, but is a non-factor.

Things are decided at the Convention.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 7 26 63T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 22/37 56/74 75.7% pie 6 25 106T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 1 1T103
P 2008 President 52/56 39/56 91/112 81.3% pie 24 4 200T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 10 1 117T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 6/11 15/22 68.2% pie 6 4 183T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 16 - 28T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 40/49 23/49 63/98 64.3% pie 20 - 7T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 34 1T167
Aggregate Predictions 249/280 160/280 409/560 73.0% pie


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