Election 2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-04-21 Version:15

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	0
McCain	38
Romney	7
Thompson	0
Huckabee	5
Other	0

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	0
McCain	31
Romney	3
Thompson	0
Huckabee	4
Other	0
Tossup	12

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
64	41	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

By the end of February, Giuliani and Thompson drop out, endorsing McCain, and Romney drops out as well. Huckabee and McCain compete in the remaining states.

Version: 1

McCain wins New Hampshire and then Michigan. Is competitive in SC but loses to Huckabee. Fred Thompson fails to gain momentum and drops out, endorsing McCain. Giuliani wins his home turf of New York and New Jersey, but loses other centrist and left-leaning states to the campaign momentum and environmental advocacy of McCain, whom Rudy afterwards endorses. Romney wins only a few states before dropping out late in February, leaving McCain and Huckabee to battle it out - McCain winning in the North and West, and Huckabee in the South. Ron Paul continues his campaign long enough to leave Huckabee a non-majority win in Texas.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%	7	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%	5	1	173	T	272
2020 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%	21	6	307	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%	10	6	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	146	35	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%	3	1	67	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%	1	3	56	T	372
2016 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%	5	1	149	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%	1	1	164	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	7/12	17/24	70.8%	1	1	14	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%	6	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%	5	0	22	T	300
2012 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	16	0	534	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%	5	3	74	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%	3	12	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	41/52	22/52	63/104	60.6%	28	-	27	T	231
2010 Senate	33/37	28/37	61/74	82.4%	13	1	34	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	23/37	56/74	75.7%	6	1	106	T	312
2008 President	47/56	30/56	77/112	68.8%	8	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	4	2	281	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	22/52	62/104	59.6%	13	-	36	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	23/49	64/98	65.3%	15	-	3	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	746/837	484/837	1230/1674	73.5%

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