PredictionsMock2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions - shua (R-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-04-21 Version:15

Prediction Map
shua MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
shua MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain38
 
Romney7
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee5
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain31
 
Romney3
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee4
 
Other0
 
Tossup12
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
644123
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 2

By the end of February, Giuliani and Thompson drop out, endorsing McCain, and Romney drops out as well. Huckabee and McCain compete in the remaining states.


Version: 1

McCain wins New Hampshire and then Michigan. Is competitive in SC but loses to Huckabee. Fred Thompson fails to gain momentum and drops out, endorsing McCain. Giuliani wins his home turf of New York and New Jersey, but loses other centrist and left-leaning states to the campaign momentum and environmental advocacy of McCain, whom Rudy afterwards endorses. Romney wins only a few states before dropping out late in February, leaving McCain and Huckabee to battle it out - McCain winning in the North and West, and Huckabee in the South. Ron Paul continues his campaign long enough to leave Huckabee a non-majority win in Texas.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 146 35T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 22/35 55/70 78.6% pie 3 1 67T483
P 2018 Governor 34/36 24/36 58/72 80.6% pie 1 3 56T372
P 2016 President 49/56 33/56 82/112 73.2% pie 5 1 149T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 1 1 164T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 7/12 17/24 70.8% pie 1 1 14T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 24/36 58/72 80.6% pie 6 1 60T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 5 0 22T300
P 2012 President 54/56 34/56 88/112 78.6% pie 16 0 534T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 20/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 3 74T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 9/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 12 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 22/52 63/104 60.6% pie 28 - 27T231
P 2010 Senate 33/37 28/37 61/74 82.4% pie 13 1 34T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 23/37 56/74 75.7% pie 6 1 106T312
P 2008 President 47/56 30/56 77/112 68.8% pie 8 1 625T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 4 2 281T407
P 2008 Dem Primary 40/52 22/52 62/104 59.6% pie 13 - 36T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 23/49 64/98 65.3% pie 15 - 3T235
Aggregate Predictions 585/664 374/664 959/1328 72.2% pie


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