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Date of Prediction: 2008-05-30 Version:18
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
Prediction Score (max Score = 104)
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Version: 11 Fred's exit changes the dynamic of the race. Version: 8 McCain runs away with the nomination Version: 6 Huckabee won Iowa with a larger margin than I predicted. This is going to hurt Romney, so I'm favoring McCain more heavily in NH. Version: 4 Putting this up in a hurry, this assumes a Romney win in IA and McCain in NH/MI, with McCain getting the momentum. Version: 3 If Romney manages to win in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Michigan, he will essentially be able to steamroll through the primary season... Version: 2 Less McCain momentum in the latest polls.
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